Description:
This paper quantifies the experimentally evaluated life-cycle benefits of a widely implemented early childhood program targeting disadvantaged families. We join experimental data with non-experimental data using economic models to forecast its life-cycle benefits. Our baseline estimate of the internal rate of return (benefit/cost ratio) is 13.7% (7.3). We conduct extensive sensitivity analyses to account for model estimation error, forecasting error, and judgments made about the empirical magnitudes of non-market benefits. We examine the performance of widely used, ad hoc estimates of long-term benefit/cost ratios based on short-term measures of childhood test scores and find them wanting. (author abstract)
Resource Type:
Reports & Papers
Publisher(s):
Funder(s):
Buffett Early Childhood Fund;
J.B. and M.K. Pritzker Family Foundation. Children's Initiative;
Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. Policies for Action;
University of Southern California. Leonard D. Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics;
National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (U.S.);
National Institute on Aging;
Hymen Milgrom Supporting Organization;
Institute for New Economic Thinking;
American Bar Foundation
Country:
United States
State(s):
North Carolina